The 2017 General Election
The British Polling Council, Political Studies Association and National Centre for Research Methods convened an open seminar during the run-up to the general election titled: Can we trust the 2017 election polls? This was held on 26th May 2017 at the British Academy.
Access the presentations at: Can we trust the 2017 election polls?
The 2016 EU Referendum
The National Centre for Research Methods, BPC and Market Research Society ran an open seminar on the performance of the opinion polls at the referendum. This event, Opinion Polling in the EU Referendum: Challenges and Lessons, was held at the Royal Statistical Society on 8 December 2016.
Access the presentation at: Opinion Polling in the EU Referendum: Challenges and Lessons
The 2015 General Election
In the wake of the opinion polls’ performance in the 2015 General Election, the British Polling Council and the Market Research Society appointed Independent Inquiry under the Chairmanship of Prof. Patrick Sturgis to investigate why the inaccuracy arose and to make recommendations about how polls should be conducted and published in future.
The BPC’s Press Release can be found in: press releases.
The Inquiry’s report is at: Report of the Inquiry into the 2015 British general election opinion polls (pdf).
The 2010 General Election
The National Centre for Research Methods and the British Polling Council ran two seminars to cover the 2010 UK General Election.
The pre-election seminar was held on 20 January 2010. For more details, see: Taking the Electoral Pulse: Three Approaches to the Methodology of Election Polling
The post-election conference was held on 22 November 2010. For more details, see: The polls in 2010: learning the lessons
The 2005 General Election
The British Polling Council held a post-election seminar in June, to review the performance of the polls and to reflect on the lessons that could be learned from the 2005 election for polling in the future. Papers were presented to the seminar on different aspects of election polling by BPC members. These are listed below and most of them can be viewed by clicking on the relevant title.
- The record of the final national polls, marginal polls and regional polls — Simon Atkinson, Ipsos MORI [49Kb]
- Poll methodology, weighting and adjustment systems — Andrew Cooper, Populus [46Kb]
- Translating poll results into seats — John Curtice, Strathclyde University [50Kb]
- Did anything happen during the campaign? If so, what? Which party fought the best campaign? — Andrew Hawkins, Comres [140Kb]
- How big is the mountain the Conservatives still have to climb? Can Labour hang on? Can the Liberal Democrats advance? — Peter Kellner, YouGov [52Kb]
- Who Voted Labour? And Why? — Nick Moon, NOP [41Kb]
- Next time: what problems will the pollsters face? — Nick Sparrow, ICM Research [113Kb]